Buffalo vs Ball State 9/17/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Buffalo winning 41% of simulations, and Ball State 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Buffalo commits fewer turnovers in 46% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Ball State wins 76% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Chazz Anderson is averaging 254 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Jahwan Edwards is averaging 58 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BALL -4.5

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